If a computer simulation is correct, Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will embrace once again after winning another title at the Super Bowl LII this weekend.
According to PredictionMachine.com, which ran its usual simulations of the Super Bowl a modest 50,000 times, a New England Patriots champion is the mostly likely outcome for the worldwide watched game set for Sunday, February 4th.
Software designed by Predictalator’s Paul Bessire showed the New England Patriots winning nearly 61% of the time. The spread most typically generated from the 50,000 simulations was the Patriots taking home the title by a score of 27.6 to 23.
While skeptics may doubt a computer simulation’s ability to predict the outcome of the NFL’s most popular game and one of the highest grossing sporting events of all time, PredictMachine’s track record has been pretty spot on in the past.
Last weekend, the simulator founded and developed by Bessire, accurately forecasted both winners in the Championship games. At large, the software is 57-29 in the NFL playoffs. Bessire, with a background in Qualitative Analysis from the University of Cincinnati, created the program in 2010 using probability and statistics from each team to determine a percent likelihood of a certain outcome.
“If we’re not running a prediction for a game, I always root for the underdog,” said Bessire.
As for Amazon’s Alexa’s prediction for this weekend’s headline game, “she” is “flying with the Eagles with this one because of their relentless defense and the momentum they’ve been riding off their underdog status. E-A-G-L-E-S. Eagles.”
Apple’s Siri, which simply grabs search engine results when asked about a top pick to win the Super Bowl 52, responded that “apparently, the odds favor the Patriots over the Eagles by 5 points.”